Kalin Ratings
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NFL Football
Here are the ratings for the NFL. The difference between two teams' ratings is a point spread. Home field advantage is approximately 2.5 points. An average NFL team has a rating of 20.
Archive
Key
Rating- Power rating
Rank- Power rating rank
Wins- Current wins
Losses- Current losses
Proj. W- Average projected wins. This depends on the team's current rating, their current record, and their remaining schedule.
Proj. L- Average projected losses. This depends on the team's current rating, their current record, and their remaining schedule.
Win out- The percent chance that the team wins the rest of their regular season games. This depends on their current rating, and their remaining schedule.
Best- the number of wins the team will finish the regular season with in a best-case (95th percentile) scenario.
Worst- the number of wins the team will finish the regular season with in a worst-case (5th percentile) scenario.
PSOS- Strength of schedule for games that the team has already played this season. The number represents the rating a hypothetical team would have to win approximately 50% of their games against the given team's schedule.
FSOS- Strength of schedule for games to be played during the remainder of the regular season. The number represents the rating a hypothetical team would have to win approximately 50% of their games against the given team's schedule.
Playoffs- the chance that the team makes the playoffs this year, according to 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. These are updated every week, usually on Tuesdays.
Win.SB- the chance that the team wins the Super Bowl this year, also based on simulations